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December 10, 2025Nature Communications4 citationsOpen Access

Accelerated attainment of global air quality standards with disproportional health co-benefits under the 1.5 °C target

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YXYang XieYWYazhen WuMZMengdan Zhao

Key Points

  • Averting excess mortalities while achieving air quality standards is critical for public health.
  • Major health benefits and economic savings are projected, especially in regions like Southeast Asia.
  • Assessment using integrated modeling highlights the feasibility of meeting climate targets economically.
  • Supports elevated climate ambition to minimize risks, including extreme weather and economic losses.

Abstract

Meeting the Paris Agreement targets and the World Health Organization 2021 Air Quality Guidelines is crucial for avoiding air pollution-related health damage. Failing these targets worsens climate change, intensifying environmental threats to public health. Here, we adopt an integrated assessment modeling framework to evaluate timelines for the AQGs attainment under different mitigation scenarios worldwide. We find that achieving 1.5 °C goal could expedite guidelines by decades, dropping PM2.5 to 5 μg m-3 and ozone to 30 parts per billion by volume by 2050, averting over a million mortalities and delivering major benefits in India, China, American, Europe, and Southeast Asia. Monetized health co-benefits would exceed mitigation costs, rising from 11 trillion to 22 trillion US dollars between 2050 and 2100. We show heightened climate ambition is both feasible and economical, offsetting global mitigation expenses via health benefits. Insufficient actions would exacerbate climate risks such as extreme weather, sea-level rise and economic loss.

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Cite This Study

Xie et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69401b3d2d562116f28f810ehttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-67276-5
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