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December 8, 2025Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences5 citationsOpen Access

Can speed cameras make streets safer? Quasi-experimental evidence from New York City

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ASAaron Stagoff-BelfortJBJonathan Ben-MenachemBBBrenden Beck

Key Points

  • Injuries decreased by 2.5% per month due to automated traffic enforcement, leading to greater road safety.
  • The study used a difference-in-differences design, analyzing data on over 700,000 collisions in NYC.
  • Automated enforcement, like speed cameras, was evaluated through a staggered rollout across the city from 2014 to 2023.
  • Economic costs of vehicle collisions are significant, emphasizing the importance of enhancing road safety measures.

Abstract

Each year, approximately 40, 000 people die in vehicle collisions in the United States, generating 340 billion in economic costs. To make roads safer without expanding police contact, many cities have turned to automated traffic enforcement, cameras that detect and fine speeding motorists. Does automated enforcement reduce vehicle collisions and injuries? Many previous studies are limited to correlational evidence. By contrast, this study estimates the causal effect of automated enforcement on road safety in a difference-in-differences design. We exploit the staggered rollout of 2, 000 speed cameras across New York City between 2014 and 2023, combining data on 700, 000 collisions and 200, 000 injuries with data on 18 million tickets issued. We find that cameras reduce collisions and injuries by 5 and 2. 5% per month on average, respectively. Cumulatively, over the seven months following their introduction, collisions declined by 30% and injuries by 16%.

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Cite This Study

Stagoff-Belfort et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/694020d72d562116f28fa718https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2520328122
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