Limit theorems uncover asymptotic behavior of Markov walks in positive conditions, indicating new insights into stable meanders.
Let (Xₙ)n≥ 1 be a Markov chain on a measurable state space X, and let Sₙ = ∑ₖ₌₁ⁿ f(Xₖ) be the associated Markov walk. For $y>0$, denote by τy the first time at which y+Sₙ becomes non-positive. Assuming that the centred martingale approximation of Sₙ lies in the domain of attraction of a strictly $α$-stable law with α∈(1,2), and that the transition operator satisfies a spectral-gap condition, we determine the asymptotic behaviour of Pₓ(τy>n). In particular, we show the existence of a strictly positive Q⁺-harmonic function V_α(x,y) such that n1-ρ L(n)\, Pₓ(τy>n) V_α(x,y), where L is slowly varying and $ρ$ is the positivity parameter of the limiting $α$-stable process. We further establish the asymptotic growth of V_α(x,y) as y→∞ and prove a conditional limit theorem: conditionally on \τy>n\, Sₙn1/α L(n) converges in distribution to the $α$-stable meander. These results extend the Gaussian spectral-gap theory of Markov walks to the full stable regime and give the first appearance of stable meanders for Markov additive processes under such assumptions.
No takes yet. Share an insight, caveat, or question.
Zhao et al. (2025) studied this question.
Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context: