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January 14, 2026International Economic Review0 citations

Cyclical Inequality in the Cost of Living and Implications for Monetary Policy

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TLTing LanLLLerong LiMLMinghao Li

Key Points

  • This research aims to investigate the effects of cyclical inflation on monetary policy effectiveness related to consumption patterns.
  • Utilized a multi-sector two-agent New Keynesian model
  • Explored the relationship between marginal propensities to consume and price stickiness
  • Analyzed the impact of heterogeneous consumption baskets on monetary policy effectiveness.
  • Cyclical inflation and volatility are higher for households with greater MPCs
  • Monetary policy effectiveness is diminished by about 15% compared to a homogeneous basket benchmark
  • Introduced a trade-off between stabilization and redistribution affecting optimal monetary policy.

Abstract

ABSTRACT This paper documents that households with higher marginal propensities to consume (MPCs) consume goods with more flexible prices. Consequently, they face more cyclical and volatile inflation, and experience higher inflation following expansionary monetary policy shocks. We embed this MPC‐price stickiness relationship into a tractable multi‐sector two‐agent New Keynesian (TANK) model and show that it dampens monetary policy effectiveness by about 15% relative to a homogeneous‐basket benchmark. Introducing heterogeneous consumption baskets also generates an inefficient flexible‐price equilibrium, leading to a novel trade‐off between stabilization and redistribution, which alters the optimal monetary policy prescription.

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Cite This Study

Lan et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6966e70e13bf7a6f02bff3c7https://doi.org/10.1111/iere.70053
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