Peri-urban areas in Eastern Europe are undergoing rapid land transformation driven by suburban housing expansion and infrastructure development, yet the processes through which vegetation is progressively degraded and built-up areas intensify remain insufficiently documented. This study analyses vegetation loss and urban expansion in the peri-urban belt of Timișoara, Western Romania, between 2020 and 2025 using Sentinel-2 multispectral imagery, two key spectral indices (NDVI and NDBI), and a Random Forest (RF) classifier. The results reveal a gradual, multi-stage transformation trajectory, where dense vegetation transitions first into sparse vegetation and bare soil before consolidating into built-up surfaces, rather than being replaced abruptly. Substantial vegetation decline is accompanied by notable increases in built-up land, with strong spatial differences between communes depending on development pressure. The integration of RF classification with spectral index analysis allows these transitions to be validated and interpreted more reliably, helping distinguish structural suburbanisation from short-term spectral variability. Overall, the study demonstrates the value of combining NDVI, NDBI and AI-supported land-cover classification to capture nuanced peri-urban transformation dynamics and provides actionable insights for spatial planning and sustainable land management in rapidly growing metropolitan regions.
HERBEI et al. (Sat,) studied this question.
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