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Analysis of global wildfire burned area trends from 1982 to 2018, revealing key climate patterns and impacts.
Wildfires profoundly impact carbon cycles, climate, and human societies. However, a comprehensive understanding of the long-term spatiotemporal characteristics and influencing factors of global wildfires remains limited. This study analyzes the spatiotemporal patterns and influencing factors of wildfires from 1982 to 2018 using a global satellite-derived burned area (BA) product. We classified fire-prone regions into four types based on climate: Tropical dry season (Tr-ds), Arid fuel-limited (Ar-fl), Boreal hot season (Bo-hs), and Temperate dry and hot season (Te-dhs). Major fire hotspots include Africa, northern Australia, South America’s Brazilian highlands, the Indochina Peninsula, and Central Asia. The global multi-year average BA is 4.59 × 108 ha yr−1, with Africa (3.04 × 108 ha yr−1) and northern Australia (2.83 × 107 ha yr−1) being the most affected. Fire activity peaks annually in July–September and December–January. From 1982 to 2018, both the global and sub-regional BA show significant increasing trends, except northern and temperate areas, though reduced burn-down areas from shorter periods have been reported during the MODIS era. At both the global scale and in the Tr-ds region, wildfire activity is strongly associated with hot and dry conditions in combination with abundant fuel availability. Fire activity in the Ar-fl region is mainly constrained by fuel availability. Surface dryness plays a dominant role in fire activity in the Bo-hs. In contrast, fire activity in the Te-dhs region shows no clear pattern. The influence of different factors on the BA is subject to threshold effects. These findings contribute to a deeper understanding of long-term wildfire dynamics across different regions globally.
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Sun et al. (2026) studied this question.
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