High-frequency imaging reveals changes in eruption parameters during Stromboli's 2021 crater collapse, suggesting improved monitoring can enhance hazard assessments.
Stromboli’s volcanic activity fluctuates in intensity and style, and periods of heightened activity can trigger hazardous events such as crater collapses and lava overflows. This study investigates the volcano’s explosive behavior surrounding the 19 May 2021 crater-rim failure, which primarily affected the N2 crater and partially involved N1, by integrating high-frequency thermal imaging and high-resolution unmanned aerial system (UAS) surveys to quantify eruption parameters and vent morphology. Typically, eruptive periods preceding vent instability are characterized by evident changes in geophysical parameters and by intensified explosive activity. This is quantitatively monitored mainly through explosion frequency, while other eruption parameters are assessed qualitatively and sporadically. Our results show that, in addition to explosion rate, the spattering rate, the predominance of bomb- and gas-rich explosions, and the number of active vents increased prior to the collapse, reflecting near-surface magma pressurization. UAS surveys revealed that the pre-collapse configuration of the northern craters contributed to structural vulnerability, while post-collapse vent realignment reflected magma’s adaptation to evolving stress conditions. The May 2021 events were likely influenced by morphological changes induced by the 2019 paroxysms, which increased collapse frequency and amplified the 2021 failure. These findings highlight the importance of integrating quantitative time series of multiple eruption parameters and high-frequency morphological surveys into monitoring frameworks to improve early detection of system disequilibrium and enhance hazard assessment at Stromboli and similar volcanic systems.
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Bello et al. (2026) studied this question.
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