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January 20, 20260 citationsOpen Access

Bitcoin Halvings and Institutional Investors: A Wavelet Analysis

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TCTatiana Silveira CamachoGSGuilherme Jonas da Silva

Key Points

  • The central aim is to evaluate how bitcoin halving events influence market demand and dynamics driven by institutional investors.
  • Applied wavelet analysis to daily bitcoin price and transaction data from January 2011 to December 2021.
  • Decomposed data to analyze changes in scale and frequency over time.
  • Examined correlations between transaction flows and price changes among institutional investors.
  • Identified alterations in transaction flows correlated with the entry of new institutional investors.
  • Found stronger correlations between bitcoin prices and transactions at lower frequencies, indicating long-term trends.

Abstract

As a highly speculative asset, bitcoin’s (BTC) demand is particularly based on the perceptions of agents about the financial asset. Especially institutions that began leaving a bigger footprint in the market, causing changes in transaction flow and price cycles. To assess how halving dynamics changed the BTC market, Wavelet methodology was carried out with daily data (from January 2011 to December 2021), on price and transaction count. Decomposition in scale and frequency indicate that flows were altered by the arrival of new investors, and stronger correlations between prices and transactions were found at lower frequencies (longer time horizon).

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Cite This Study

Camacho et al. (2024) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/696f1a849e64f732b51eecf0https://doi.org/10.13133/2037-3643/18744
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