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Prospective cohort analysis identifies predictors of infection in IBD patients during infliximab treatment, suggesting AUC monitoring for improved safety.
Background Infliximab (IFX) has significantly improved outcomes for patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) but also predisposes them to infection. Pre-infusion trough concentration (Ctrough) is commonly used in therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) to optimize IFX efficacy. However, reliable pharmacokinetic (PK) or clinical factors predicting infection risk in IFX-treated IBD patients have not been well established. Methods In a proactive TDM-based prospective cohort of IBD patients treated with intravenous (IV) or subcutaneous (SC) IFX, we collected Ctrough, anti-IFX antibody titers, demographic, clinical, and laboratory data at each 8-week visit. Cumulative IFX exposure for both IV and SC formulations, represented by the area under the concentration–time curve over eight weeks (AUC0–8wk), was computed using a single validated population PK model. Logistic generalized linear mixed models (GLMM) with patient-level random intercepts were performed to assess associations between repeatedly measured PK parameters and infection risk. Results Among 2,451 visit–infection pairs (54% Crohn’s disease; 29% SC dosing), 88 infections (3.6%) occurred. Although Ctrough was not associated with infection risk, random-intercept logistic GLMM analysis revealed that corticosteroid use (OR 3.59, 95% CI 1.08–11.90, p = 0.037), low-dose immunomodulator use (OR 0.51, 95% CI 0.32–0.83, p = 0.007), and AUC0–8wk (OR 1.03 per 100 mg·day/L, 95% CI 1.01–1.05, p = 0.010) were associated with infection risk. Parallel generalized estimating equations yielded nearly identical effects. A parsimonious mixed-effects model confirmed AUC0–8wk as the primary predictor. Conclusion Cumulative exposure, rather than Ctrough, predicts infection risk, supporting AUC monitoring for safer IFX dosing. Conflict of interest: Prof. Hong, Sung Noh: Grant & Consulting : Celltrion Kim, Ji Eun: No conflict of interest Kim, Eun Ran: No conflict of interest Chang, Dong Kyung: No conflict of interest Kim, Young-Ho: No conflict of interest
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Hong et al. (2026) studied this question.
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