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February 2, 2026European Transport Research Review0 citationsOpen Access

Road and social safety in Europe: how economic growth and regional dynamics shape mortality trends

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HAHazem Al-mahamidÁTÁdám Török

Key Points

  • The study aims to analyze the relationship between road fatalities, general mortality, and economic growth across Europe.
  • Analyzed road fatality risk and general mortality rates from 2005 to 2020.
  • Used time-series trends and cross-sectional correlations to assess safety profiles.
  • Employed performance-based clustering to derive country typologies.
  • Focused on EU-27 countries and their GDP per capita.
  • Found a robust inverse relationship between economic performance and both road safety and general mortality.
  • Observed significant cross-country differences in safety metrics.
  • Highlighted that economic growth alone is insufficient for improving safety outcomes.
  • Identified the need for evidence-based interventions in enforcement, infrastructure, and health systems.

Abstract

Abstract Road and social safety are core public-health outcomes, yet European mortality patterns remain uneven despite sustained economic growth. This study jointly analyzes road fatality risk (fatalities per 10,000 passenger vehicles) and general mortality (deaths per 1,000 population) against GDP per capita for the EU-27 over 2005–2020. We combine time-series trends, cross-sectional correlations, and performance-based clustering to characterize safety profiles. Results show a robust inverse association between economic performance and both safety metrics, alongside marked cross-country heterogeneity. Two contributions follow: (i) integrating road and social mortality in a unified comparative framework over a long horizon; and (ii) deriving data-driven country typologies that can guide targeted policy. Using a standard regionalization only for descriptive summaries and relying on data-driven clusters for inference, we show that macroeconomic growth is insufficient on its own to sustain safety gains without evidence-based, implementable interventions—in enforcement, infrastructure, and health systems. The findings support performance-oriented benchmarking and context-sensitive strategies to accelerate convergence in public safety across Europe.

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Cite This Study

Al-mahamid et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6980fd9dc1c9540dea80f61chttps://doi.org/10.1186/s12544-025-00751-8
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