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February 5, 2026Economic Change and RestructuringOpen Access

Are tariffs always bad for growth? Evidence from cross-sectoral analysis

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Authors

HYHalit YanıkkayaPTPınar TatAAAbdullah Altun

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Overview

Examines tariff effects on economic growth across sectors, suggesting tailored trade strategies for policymakers.

Key Points

  • The study aims to investigate the relationship between tariffs and economic growth across different sectors and countries.
  • Analyzed input and output tariffs at a detailed product level using HS 6-digit codes.
  • Employed a sectoral growth model and an extended sectoral gravity model for analysis.
  • Utilized a dataset covering 11 sectors in 177 countries from 1990 to 2018.
  • Input tariffs significantly reduce sectoral value-added growth, particularly in agriculture and mining.
  • Negative effects of tariffs vary across countries and sectors, with pronounced impacts when developing countries engage with developed partners.
  • Imposed output tariffs can enhance value-added growth in low-tech manufacturing sectors of developing countries.

Cite This Study

Yanıkkaya et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/698433e9f1d9ada3c1fb17echttps://doi.org/10.1007/s10644-026-09966-8
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