Spatiotemporal Evolution and Driving Mechanisms of Production–Living–Ecological Space Coupling Coordination in Foshan’s Traditional Villages: A Perspective of New Quality Productive Forces

Traditional villages, as carriers of agricultural civilization and ecological wisdom, represent important sites for fostering new-quality productive forces. In the context of rapid urbanization, they function as key spaces for rural development while also confronting vulnerabilities such as spatial functional imbalance and ecological degradation. Within the production–living–ecology (PLE) spaces, dependence on labor-intensive and capital-intensive agricultural models often results in resource misallocation and systemic dysfunction. New-quality productive forces, driven by innovation and green transition, provide a fresh perspective for sustainable rural spatial restructuring. However, their micro-scale mechanisms within traditional villages remain underexplored. This study focuses on 22 nationally recognized traditional villages in Foshan, China. Based on land-use and socioeconomic data from 1993, 2003, 2013, and 2023, we applied land-use transition matrices, a coupling coordination degree model, and geographical detector analysis to examine the evolution of PLE spatial patterns and their driving mechanisms. The findings show that (1) spatially, the share of living space increased significantly, while ecological and agricultural production spaces continued to shrink, reflecting heightened competition among the three; (2) the overall coupling coordination degree exhibited a declining trend, indicating weakened synergy among PLE functions; (3) key drivers of system coordination include per capita disposable income of rural residents, agricultural labor productivity, regional technological innovation capacity, and forest coverage, underscoring the synergistic role of socioeconomic and ecological factors in new countryside development. This study elucidates the micro-spatial pathways through which new rural construction and conservation mechanisms operate, providing a reference for context-sensitive conservation and high-quality development of traditional villages in rapidly industrializing regions. The analytical framework can also be extended to other rural areas undergoing transition.