Verification of the Bureau of Meteorology's seasonal forecasts: 2003-2005

Key Points

• The aim is to assess the accuracy of seasonal forecasts issued by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology during the years 2003 to 2005.
• Analyzed operational seasonal forecasts from the Australian Bureau of Meteorology.
• Compared forecasts to actual weather data for verification.
• Focused on verification methods previously outlined in earlier research.
• Poor performance observed in seasonal minimum temperature forecasts in southwestern Western Australia.
• Verification suggests a need for improvements in forecasting accuracy.