This article evaluates ongoing debates about Bayesian confirmation theory and epistemological challenges in philosophy, implying significant implications for explanation inference.
In their 2013 paper, William Roche and Elliott Sober used Bayesian confirmation theory and the probabilistic concept of screening-off to pose problems for the epistemological theory of Inference to the Best Explanation. Several philosophers replied to those criticisms and Roche and Sober refined and extended their critique in subsequent papers. This article assesses where the debate now stands.
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Roche et al. (2026) studied this question.
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