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February 8, 2026Open Access

A storyline climate-change attribution study of the extreme hail event in Switzerland on 28 June 202

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Authors

RTRobert J. TrappSLSonia Lasher-TrappDCDuanne Claybrooke

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Overview

Explores climate change's role in an extreme hail event in Switzerland, suggesting significant impacts on hail frequency and size.

Key Points

  • The research aims to assess how anthropogenic climate change influences extreme hail events, particularly one in Zurich, Switzerland.
  • Utilized a storyline approach to analyze an extreme hail event on June 28, 2021.
  • Simulated the event using the Weather Research and Forecasting model with ERA5 data.
  • Compared factual simulations with counter-factual simulations that excluded climate change signals.
  • Computed climate change signals using global climate model data from pre-industrial and current-day comparisons.
  • Counter-factual simulations showed significantly less hail compared to factual simulations.
  • Hail diameters of ≥ 3 cm were particularly impacted, showing a reduction in the counter-factual scenarios.
  • The area affected by larger hail sizes (> 3 cm and > 5 cm) increased due to climate change influences.

Cite This Study

Trapp et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/698827b40fc35cd7a8846a31https://doi.org/10.48620/94348
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