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February 11, 2026Geophysical Research Letters2 citationsOpen Access

The Role of Near Solstice Solar Radiation on the Pacific Northwest Heatwave of June 2021

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SNShauna NdopingJRJ. RobsonLALualawi Mareshet Admasu

Key Points

  • To quantify the effect of near-maximum incoming solar radiation on the intensity of the June 2021 heatwave in the Pacific Northwest.
  • Used the Weather Research and Forecasting model for simulations.
  • Compared observed heatwave with simulated events at 30 and 60 days post-solstice.
  • Analyzed temperature reductions and spatial area of record-breaking temperatures.
  • Mean heatwave temperatures decreased by 1.5°C at +30 days and 4.8°C at +60 days.
  • The spatial area of record-breaking temperatures reduced by 25% and 81% for +30 and +60 days, respectively.
  • Heatwave timing significantly influenced maximum temperatures, although record-breaking was still likely.

Abstract

Abstract In late June 2021, the Pacific Northwest experienced a severe heatwave, shattering temperature records and making worldwide news. The extreme temperatures have been attributed to an anomalously strong atmospheric block, high moisture content of upstream air, and dry soils. We present the first study quantifying the impact of the near‐maximum incoming solar radiation resulting from the event's proximity to the summer solstice. Using the Weather Research and Forecasting model, we contrast the observed heatwave with meteorologically identical heatwaves, but with incoming solar radiation of 30 (+30 days) and 60 days (+60 days) later. Spatially averaged mean heatwave temperatures are reduced by 1.5°C (4.8°C) in +30 days (+60 days), and the spatial area over which records were broken is reduced by 25% (81%). Although our results imply that the heatwave would still have broken 80‐year records even in our +60 days simulation, heatwave timing likely played a significant role in the maximum heatwave temperatures.

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Cite This Study

Ndoping et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/698c1bb8267fb587c655d920https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl119909
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