PulseExploreJournal ClubDebatesTrendingResearchersJournals
Instagram
HomeExploreJournal ClubTrending
Synapse
⌘+K
Synapse
February 11, 2026International Journal of Climatology0 citations

Factors Affecting the Rapid Weakening of Tropical Cyclones in the Coastal Area of China

View Full Paper
BXBailu XueChinese Academy of Meteorological SciencesLLLu LiuChinese Academy of Meteorological SciencesJFJianing FengShanghai Meteorological Bureau

Key Points

  • This research examines the characteristics and influencing factors behind the rapid weakening of tropical cyclones in China's coastal areas from 1980 to 2023.
  • Utilized a 6-hourly tropical cyclone best track dataset and global reanalysis data for analysis.
  • Conducted statistical analyses on the frequency and conditions of rapid weakening events.
  • Investigated correlations between rapid weakening and environmental factors like sea surface temperature and wind shear.
  • Rapid weakening of tropical cyclones has significantly increased since 1980.
  • The highest rapid weakening rates occur in December, particularly around Taiwan.
  • Strong correlations identified between rapid weakening events and conditions such as sea surface temperature, wind shear, and cyclone fullness.

Abstract

ABSTRACT Based on the 6‐hourly tropical cyclone (TC) best track dataset and global reanalysis data, this study investigates the statistical characteristics and potential influencing factors of rapid weakening (RW) of TC in China's offshore area during 1980–2023. Statistical analyses indicate that TC RW in China's offshore area has experienced a statistically significant increase since 1980. The TC RW occurs more frequently in September and the RW rate peaks in December. Specifically, RW cases to the northeast of Taiwan occur predominantly during the TC active season (June–September), while RW cases to the southwest of Taiwan (in the South China Sea) are skewed toward early or late stages of the TC active season. Analysis of influencing factors on RW TCs reveals that the offshore RW of TCs has statistically significant correlations with sea surface temperature (SST), upper‐level divergence (DIV200), deep‐layer vertical wind shear (VWS), and TC fullness (TCF) with the statistical significance over the 99% confidence level. Compared to slow weakening (SW) cases, RW events usually occur when TCs with larger TCF cross regions exhibiting lower SST, stronger VWS and enhanced DIV200. Furthermore, the factors affecting RW in southern and northern China's coastal sea are analysed. RW in the northern offshore area is strongly influenced by SST gradient, particularly showing a significant positive correlation with the meridional SST gradient (SSTGMER). In contrast, RW in the southern offshore region is more affected by the zonal SST gradient (SSTGZON). This distinction is mainly attributable to differences in directions of TC movement between the two regions. DIV200, mid‐level relative humidity (RH500‐700) and TCF are also significantly correlated with RW in the southern offshore coast, whereas these factors have no significant relationships with northern RW TCs.

Ask AI
Helpful
Bookmark
Share
View Full Paper

Cite This Study

Xue et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/698c1c65267fb587c655ed13https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.70285
Ask AI
Helpful
Bookmark
Share
View Full Paper