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February 11, 2026Risk Analysis0 citations

Hydrogen‐Induced Risks to the Natural Gas Industry Chain: A Two‐Layer Network Approach

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JMJiaqi MaPZP. ZhouWWWenya Wang

Key Points

  • The study aims to identify risk factors impacting the natural gas industry chain due to hydrogen energy development.
  • Identification of 37 risk factors in the natural gas industry under hydrogen energy coupling modes.
  • Development of a two-layer complex network framework to analyze interrelationships between elements.
  • Integration of an improved gravity model for risk evaluation.
  • Scenario analysis to understand risk characteristics in the natural gas industry chain.
  • Key risks and transmission paths within the natural gas industry chain are identified.
  • The framework facilitates exploration of collaborative potential in coupling modes.
  • Phased risk characteristics of the natural gas industry concerning hydrogen energy development are revealed.

Abstract

ABSTRACT The development of hydrogen energy (HE) has complex impacts on the natural gas (NG) industry chain across production, transportation, storage, and application stages. This paper contributes to the risk identification and transmission characteristic analysis of industry coupling on the NG industry chain. We first identify 37 risk factors in the NG industry chain under multiple coupling modes with the HE industry, and then develop a two‐layer complex network research framework to reveal the intricate interrelationships between these elements. An improved gravity model is integrated into the framework for more accurate risk influence evaluation. Based on this analysis, key risks and transmission paths are identified. The framework further facilitates exploring the collaborative potential of coupling modes. On this basis, scenario analysis is performed to reveal phased risk characteristics of the NG industry chain in the context of HE development. We conclude by suggesting establishing a risk‐buffering community to promote collaborative governance throughout the entire industry chain.

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Cite This Study

Ma et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/698c1c73267fb587c655ef8ehttps://doi.org/10.1111/risa.70187
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