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February 12, 2026Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin1 citationsOpen Access

Trajectories of Psychological Outcomes During the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election

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OSOlga StavrovaDRDongning RenSKSangmin Kim

Key Points

  • This research aims to explore how the 2024 U.S. presidential election influenced psychological outcomes among Americans.
  • Conducted a 7-wave longitudinal survey
  • Tracked 623 Americans over a period from 3 weeks before to 16 weeks after the election
  • Analyzed differences in psychological outcomes among Democratic and Republican supporters
  • Democratic supporters reported decreases in well-being, optimism, and personal control post-election
  • Republican supporters experienced improvements in institutional trust and reduced psychological gaps
  • Changes in psychological outcomes persisted for up to 4 months after the election

Abstract

The 2024 U.S. presidential election seemed to have the potential to profoundly impact the national economy, financial markets, and geopolitics. Did Donald Trump’s re-election influence Americans’ psychology as well? We conducted a 7-wave longitudinal survey tracking N = 623 Americans (36% male, M age = 45.05 years ( SD age = 22.97) from 3 weeks before the election to 16 weeks after. As the election results came in, Democratic supporters reported a decrease in well-being, optimism and personal control, lower institutional trust, higher cynicism, more experiences of disrespect, and a stronger conspiracy mentality—changes that persisted up to 4 months post-election. In contrast, Republican supporters experienced changes in the opposite direction, effectively reversing the previously observed liberal advantage in institutional trust and diminishing the liberal–conservative gap in other psychological outcomes. These results challenge the notion of inherent psychological differences between liberals and conservatives, highlighting how such differences can shift depending on which party holds power.

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Cite This Study

Stavrova et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/698d6dae5be6419ac0d52c71https://doi.org/10.1177/01461672251412506
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