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February 16, 2026Cancer0 citations

Breast cancer staging for patients with “low‐risk” disease: Are they all the same?

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TNTori C NierenbergDuke Medical CenterSTSamantha M. ThomasDuke UniversityEREllery ReasonDuke Medical Center

Key Points

  • To evaluate whether a low Oncotype Recurrence Score justifies downstaging to pathologic prognostic stage IA in breast cancer.
  • Identified patients with pT1–3/pN0–1/M0, hormone receptor–positive, HER2-negative breast cancer.
  • Excluded those receiving neoadjuvant therapy or lacking Oncotype RS data.
  • Grouped patients by pathologic prognostic stage and used Kaplan–Meier and Cox models for survival analysis.
  • Among 231,031 patients, 23.8% had RS < 11, with 94.2% in PPS IA, yet overall survival declined with higher stage.
  • Adjusted analyses indicated worse overall survival for higher stages within RS < 11, with significant HRs reported for various stages.
  • Five-year overall survival rates varied by stage, reinforcing the importance of not solely relying on RS for downstaging.

Abstract

ABSTRACT Background Contemporary breast cancer staging incorporates anatomic and biologic factors. Although a low ( 25. Median follow up was 58.9 months. Most with RS < 11 were PPS IA (94.2%), yet OS declined with higher stage ( p < .001). Adjusted analyses showed worse OS for higher stages within RS < 11 (IB: HR 1.66 95% CI, 1.34–2.05; IIA: HR 2.29 1.44–3.65; IIB: HR 2.48 1.03–5.95). In the RS 11–17 group, 90.8% were PPS IA. Five‐year OS varied (IA: 97.8%, IB: 95.8%, IIA: 95.2%, IIB: 93.7%, IIIA: 100%; p < .001). Adjusted OS differences persisted (IB: HR 1.51 1.32–1.73; IIA: HR 1.32 1.01–1.72; IIB: HR 1.58 0.95–2.63; IIIA: HR 1.44 (0.21–9.95]). Conclusions Prognostic stage significantly influences survival among patients with low RS. RS < 11 alone should not automatically downstage patients to PPS IA; anatomic and other nongenomic factors remain important for prognosis.

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Cite This Study

Nierenberg et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69926503eb1f82dc367a0d55https://doi.org/10.1002/cncr.70305
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