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February 16, 2026Geophysical Research Letters3 citationsOpen Access

Landward Acceleration of Tropical Cyclones Making Landfall Along the South China Coast

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QZQuanjia ZhongWDWansuo DuanSTShifei Tu

Key Points

  • To analyze the acceleration of tropical cyclones (TCs) and their characteristics before making landfall.
  • Used best‐track data from 1951 to 2023
  • Conducted numerical simulations and diagnostic analyses
  • Examined translation speed and intensity changes prior to landfall.
  • Translation speed increased by 35.5% for eastbound TCs and 16.4% for westbound TCs before landfall.
  • Acceleration linked to normal component of translation vector and intensified with cyclone strength.
  • Findings support better disaster prevention strategies as TCs approach coastal regions.

Abstract

Abstract Accurate forecasts of near‐landfall TC characteristics (direction, translation speed, and intensity) are essential for timely disaster preparedness. Using best‐track data (1951–2023), this study reveals a significant pre‐landfall acceleration of TCs along the South China coast, with translation speed increasing by 35.5% and 16.4% during the 24 hr prior to landfall for eastbound and westbound cases, respectively. This acceleration is primarily contributed by the normal component of the translation vector. For westbound TCs, translation speed and its normal component increase with intensity, particularly at typhoon strength and above. Numerical simulations and diagnostic analyses attribute the acceleration to horizontal advection and diabatic heating, primarily driven by land‐induced asymmetric flow and convection. These findings strengthen the current understanding of TC motion dynamics and support more effective disaster prevention and mitigation strategies as TCs approach coastal regions.

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Cite This Study

Zhong et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69926575eb1f82dc367a1593https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl119733
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