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June 23, 2008BMJ1,500 citationsOpen Access

Predicting cardiovascular risk in England and Wales: prospective derivation and validation of QRISK2

JHJulia Hippisley–CoxCCCarol CouplandYVYana Vinogradova

Key Points

  • To assess the accuracy of the QRISK2 algorithm in predicting cardiovascular risk while incorporating various factors.
  • Prospective derivation and validation of the QRISK2 algorithm in a nationally representative population.
  • Incorporation of ethnicity, deprivation, and clinical conditions into the QRISK2 format.
  • QRISK2 improved identification of high cardiovascular risk individuals at the 20% threshold.
  • Demonstrated home advantage during validation in a similar population.
  • Further validation in diverse populations is recommended to ensure broad applicability.

Abstract

Incorporating ethnicity, deprivation, and other clinical conditions into the QRISK2 algorithm for risk of cardiovascular disease improves the accuracy of identification of those at high risk in a nationally representative population. At the 20% threshold, QRISK2 is likely to be a more efficient and equitable tool for treatment decisions for the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease. As the validation was performed in a similar population to the population from which the algorithm was derived, it potentially has a "home advantage." Further validation in other populations is therefore advised.

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Cite This Study

Hippisley–Cox et al. (2008) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69990ae5fcab04efb4ebbc9ehttps://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.39609.449676.25
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