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February 21, 2026Energy Policy2 citationsOpen Access

Seasonal dynamics in the prediction of household-level energy poverty: A machine learning approach

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BMBoram MoonJHJ. Hong

Key Points

  • The aim is to predict seasonal energy poverty at the household level using machine learning techniques.
  • Analyzed 330,960 household-month data points
  • Employed machine learning approaches for prediction
  • Investigated the impact of structural and socioeconomic factors on energy poverty
  • Identified heating-related structural vulnerability as a key driver of energy poverty in winter
  • Found that summer energy poverty is influenced by socioeconomic factors
  • Double risk groups experience high vulnerability throughout both summer and winter seasons

Abstract

• Machine learning predicts seasonal energy poverty using 330,960 household-month data. • Korea's energy poverty is driven mainly by heating-related structural vulnerability. • Income risk groups face summer vulnerability mainly due to socioeconomic limits. • Income risk groups face winter vulnerability mainly due to structural limits. • Double risk groups face persistently high vulnerability across both seasons.

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Cite This Study

Moon et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69994ad4873532290d01f2b7https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2026.115146
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