Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Yield Improvement in Off-Grid Community Systems in Senegal

Off-grid communities in Senegal face challenges in sustainable energy provision for agricultural productivity. A Bayesian hierarchical regression model was employed to analyse data on solar panel installations, electricity usage patterns, and crop yields across Senegalese communities. The model demonstrated a significant positive association between improved solar panel efficiency and increased agricultural productivity by 15% over baseline conditions. The Bayesian hierarchical model provides a robust framework for evaluating yield improvements in off-grid systems, with implications for sustainable energy policy development in Senegal. Communities should prioritise investment in high-efficiency solar panels to maximise agricultural yields and support rural electrification efforts. Bayesian hierarchical model, off-grid communities, yield improvement, Senegal The empirical specification follows Y=β₀+β^ X+ε, and inference is reported with uncertainty-aware statistical criteria.