Forensic analysis maps tropical cyclone rapid intensification trends, suggesting new methodologies in atmospheric science.
CycloneNet V2 is a research release for forensic (hindcast) analysis of tropical cyclones. Rather than forecasting, it retrospectively produces FuelMap-style attribution/hypothesis maps—interpretable regions whose patterns are physically plausible correlates of historical rapid intensification (RI)—using a fully auditable artifact-driven pipeline and weak physics guidance (a physics-derived fuel prior plus diagnostic consistency constraints). The project is designed around a deliberate high-recall operating point to reduce missed RI cases. External spatial validation against independent oceanic energy proxies (e.g., TCHP/OHC) remains future work. Included artifacts (this Zenodo record): CycloneNet A Forensic Physics-Guided Deep Learning Framework for Atmospheric Singularity Mapping.pdf — methodology, experiments, and results test_metrics.json — ROC-AUC, PR-AUC, recall, precision, F1, Brier, etc. test_predictions.csv — per-event probabilities and FuelMap coordinate estimates train_history.json — per-epoch losses and AUC best_auc_model.pt — trained PyTorch checkpoint (best AUC) best_model.pt — trained PyTorch checkpoint (best overall selection) Contact: estefano.senhor@gmail.comGitHub: https://github.com/estefano-ferreira/cyclone-net
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Estefano Senhor Ferreira (2026) studied this question.
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