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March 1, 2026npj Digital Medicine3 citationsOpen Access

Methodological and regulatory considerations for causal AI in drug development

HLHana LeeSQSky QiuSHSpencer R. Haupert

Key Points

  • The aim is to explore the integration of AI in causal inference for drug development within regulatory frameworks.
  • Review of current regulatory guidance on AI adoption in drug development
  • Examination of statistical methodologies relevant to AI-driven causal inference
  • Discussion on the application of AI across various data sources
  • Identified gaps in regulatory guidance regarding AI use for causal inference
  • Highlighted potential benefits of AI for understanding treatment effects
  • Outlined key regulatory challenges faced by agencies in adopting AI methodologies.

Abstract

Abstract Advances in AI offer significant opportunities to enhance drug development. While several regulatory agencies have begun issuing guidance on AI adoption, its application to causal inference—a critical piece to understand treatment effects and inform regulatory decisions—remains limited. This paper reviews regulatory activities and examines statistical methodologies for AI-driven causal inference. We discuss key regulatory challenges and illustrate how AI adds value across diverse data sources and studies.

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Cite This Study

Lee et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69a3d824ec16d51705d2eb88https://doi.org/10.1038/s41746-026-02477-w
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