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March 3, 20260 citationsOpen Access

Job Security in the Age of AI: A Structured Forecasting Approach

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GMGergely Máté

Key Points

  • To develop a framework for estimating job resilience in the context of advancing AI capabilities.
  • Proposed a structured forecasting framework that decomposes occupations into five dimensions.
  • Applied a weighted Human Advantage Score to evaluate job safety.
  • Accounted for economic adoption factors influencing job security.
  • Demonstrated the framework through case studies in construction, software development, and dentistry.
  • Quantified occupational safety using the proposed model.
  • Highlighted the variance in resilience across different occupations.
  • Provided valuable insights for career orientation and policy planning amid AI transitions.

Abstract

As Artificial Intelligence (AI) capabilities advance in cognitive and sensory domains, the landscape of global labor markets faces significant uncertainty. This paper proposes a structured forecasting framework to estimate job resilience by decomposing occupations into five core dimensions: cognitive processing, physical execution, social interaction, sensory perception, and environmental adaptability. By applying a weighted Human Advantage Score and accounting for economic adoption factors, the model provides a systematic method for quantifying occupational safety. We demonstrate the utility of this framework through case studies of construction, software development, and dentistry, offering a rational basis for career orientation and policy planning in the AI transition era.

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Cite This Study

Gergely Máté (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69a67f12f353c071a6f0aeaehttps://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18821830
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