Key result
Elevated triglyceride-glucose index linked to ~76% higher heart failure odds in hospitalized T2D patients.
Why the study?
Is a higher triglyceride-glucose index associated with an increased risk of heart failure in hospitalized patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus?
Cross-Sectional (n=848)
No
Is a higher triglyceride-glucose index associated with an increased risk of heart failure in hospitalized patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus?
Odds Ratio: 1.762 (95% CI 1.103–2.814)
Absolute Event Rate: 34.4% vs 20.5%
p-value: p=0.018
An elevated triglyceride-glucose index is independently associated with an increased risk of heart failure in older hospitalized patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus, suggesting its potential as a biomarker for early risk identification.
Objective This study aimed to investigate the association between the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and heart failure (HF) in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Methods This single-center cross-sectional study enrolled 848 hospitalized T2DM patients aged ≥50 years at Xi'an Gaoxin Hospital between January 1, 2024, and January 1, 2025. The TyG index was calculated for each patient, and participants were stratified into three tertiles (T1, T2, T3) based on TyG levels. HF was diagnosed in accordance with the 2021 guidelines of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC). Univariate logistic regression was first used to identify variables significantly associated with HF ( P < 0.05), which were then included in multivariate logistic regression analyses to examine the independent association between TyG and HF risk. Subgroup analyses were also conducted to examine whether the association between TyG and HF varied by age, sex, smoking status, hypertension, and body mass index (BMI). To evaluate the predictive value of the TyG index for HF, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted, and the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated. Results Among the 848 participants, 242 (28.5%) had HF. Higher TyG levels were independently associated with increased HF risk. In the fully adjusted model, the second (T2: OR = 1.655, P = 0.026) and third tertiles (T3: OR = 1.762, P = 0.018) were significantly associated with elevated odds of HF compared to the lowest tertile (T1). The TyG index as a continuous variable also showed a robust association (OR = 1.493, P = 0.002). Subgroup analyses revealed particularly strong associations in individuals aged ≥70 years, males, non-smokers, hypertensive patients, and those with body mass index <24 kg/m 2 . ROC analysis indicated that the TyG index not only showed modest discriminative ability for HF but also enhanced the predictive performance of a baseline model consisting of conventional variables ( P < 0.05). Conclusion Elevated TyG index is independently associated with increased risk of HF in patients with T2DM. It may serve as a clinically accessible, cost-effective biomarker for early HF risk identification, particularly in high-risk subpopulations.
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Yan et al. (2026) conducted a cross-sectional in Type 2 diabetes mellitus and heart failure (n=848). Triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index vs. Lowest tertile of TyG index (T1) was evaluated on Presence of heart failure (OR 1.762, 95% CI 1.103-2.814, p=0.018). Elevated triglyceride-glucose index was independently associated with an increased risk of heart failure in hospitalized patients with type 2 diabetes, with the highest tertile showing significantly higher odds compared to the lowest tertile (OR 1.762).
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