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March 3, 2026BMC Oral Health0 citationsOpen Access

Risk factors and development of a predictive nomogram model for acute postoperative pain in oral cancer

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FQFang QiWuhan UniversityYKYiqun KangWuhan UniversityLZLong ZuoWuhan University

Key Points

  • Acute postoperative pain is common in oral cancer patients, with an incidence of 74.67% on postoperative day 3.
  • Key independent risk factors include education level, tumor volume, type of lymph node dissection, and preoperative anxiety or depression.
  • Multivariate analysis identified significant factors, enhancing the model's predictive capabilities through a developed nomogram.
  • The nomogram demonstrated excellent performance with an AUC of 0.923, supporting optimized pain management strategies.

Abstract

This study aimed to determine the incidence and independent factors of acute postoperative pain in oral cancer patients and develop an individualized predictive nomogram. A retrospective cohort study included 458 oral cancer patients who underwent tumor resection with free flap reconstruction at Wuhan University’s Hospital of Stomatology (January 2023–December 2024). Demographics, medical history, tumor features, surgical variables, and preoperative anxiety/depression were collected. Pain intensity was assessed using the Numerical Rating Scale (NRS) on postoperative days 1, 2, 3, and 7. Independent risk factors were identified via multivariate analysis, and a nomogram was validated using Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and Decision Curve Analysis ( DCA). The incidence of acute pain on postoperative day 3 was 74.67% (342/458), with 51.53% experiencing moderate pain (NRS 4–6) and 17.25% severe pain (NRS ≥ 7). Independent factors included education ≤junior high school (OR = 0.29), no history of immunotherapy (OR = 0.12), larger tumor volume (OR = 20.53), unilateral (OR = 3.46) or bilateral lymph node dissection(OR = 10.95), free flap type(OR = 10.17), and preoperative anxiety/depression (OR = 2.71; all P 0.05) and significant clinical net benefits (DCA). In conclusion, acute postoperative pain in oral cancer is common and multifactorial. The nomogram accurately predicts this risk, aiding individualized analgesia and optimizing pain management.

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Cite This Study

Qi et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69a76037c6e9836116a2cbc6https://doi.org/10.1186/s12903-026-07792-y
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