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March 4, 2026Journal of Clinical Oncology0 citations

Front-line (1L) treatment and recurrence patterns among patients with high-risk non–muscle-invasive bladder cancer (HR-NMIBC) with papillary carcinoma (PAP) or carcinoma in situ (CIS) following bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) or other intravesical therapies (IVT).

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MFMichael D. FabrizioMSMukul SinghalBEBruno Emond

Key Points

  • This study aims to describe the real-world patterns of first-line treatment and recurrence rates among patients with high-risk non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer.
  • Retrospective cohort study using SEER-Medicare data from 2007-2022
  • Included treatment-naïve patients aged ≥65 years with HR-NMIBC
  • Patients received >1 instillation of BCG or other intravesical therapies (IVTs) as 1L treatment
  • Recurrence defined by specific therapy reinitiation or treatment changes
  • Kaplan-Meier analyses used to assess time to recurrence by treatment cohort.
  • 73% of patients received BCG, median time to recurrence was 7.8 months
  • Recurrence rates at 3, 6, 12, and 24 months for BCG were 21%, 43%, 61%, and 74% respectively
  • For IVT-treated patients, median time to recurrence was 5.8 months with recurrence rates of 30%, 51%, 65%, and 72% at corresponding time points
  • Over 60% experienced recurrence within 12 months regardless of treatment type.

Abstract

708 Background: HR-NMIBC carries substantial burden and high recurrence risk. Guidelines recommend BCG as 1L therapy, with other IVTs for BCG-unresponsive patients. This study aimed to describe real-world patterns of 1L treatment and recurrence rates among patients with HR-NMIBC, with PAP or CIS, initiating BCG or other IVT in the United States. Methods: This retrospective cohort study using SEER-Medicare data (1/1/2007-12/31/2022) included treatment-naïve patients ≥65 years old with HR-NMIBC with PAP (T1 disease or high-grade Ta) or CIS (Tis staging or diagnosis code), who received ≥1 instillation of BCG (BCG cohort) or other IVT (IVT cohort; mitomycin, gemcitabine, valrubicin, docetaxel, epirubicin) as 1L treatment. Index date was the first instillation. Among BCG-treated patients with sufficient follow-up, induction and maintenance patterns were assessed. Recurrence was defined as reinitiation of the same therapy after a gap (BCG: ≥180-day gap; other IVT: ≥90-day gap), transurethral resection of bladder tumor (TURBT), biopsy, or initiation of a new treatment (i.e., alternative IVT, systemic chemotherapy, radiotherapy, cystectomy, immunotherapy including pembrolizumab, hormonal therapy, or other antineoplastic therapy). Kaplan-Meier (KM) analyses assessed time to recurrence stratified by cohort, with censoring at the earliest of end of continuous enrollment, plan switch, death, or end of data. Results: Among 17,495 patients initiating 1L treatment, 12,792 (73%) received BCG (mean age: 76 years; 79% male; 91% White) and 861 (5%) other IVTs (mean age: 77 years; 76% male; 93% White). Of BCG-treated patients, 56% initiated within 3 months of diagnosis, 84% received adequate induction (≥5 instillations within 70 days), and 54% received adequate induction plus maintenance (≥7 installations within 274 days). Median time to recurrence was 7.8 months (95% confidence interval CI: 7.6, 8.1), with KM recurrence rates of 21% at 3 months, 43% at 6 months, 61% at 12 months, and 74% at 24 months. Among IVT-treated patients, most received mitomycin (64%) or gemcitabine (25%). Median time to recurrence was 5.8 months (95% CI: 5.1, 6.7), and KM recurrence rates were 30% at 3 months, 51% at 6 months, 65% at 12 months, and 72% at 24 months. Conclusions: In this real-world study of Medicare-insured patients with HR-NMIBC with PAP or CIS, over 60% experienced recurrence within 12 months of initiating 1L BCG or IVT. While most BCG-treated patients received adequate induction, just over half had adequate maintenance. Current intravesical options show limited durability, underscoring the need for more effective, bladder-sparing treatments. Without clinical measures available, recurrence estimates may be affected by claims-based definitions.

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Cite This Study

Fabrizio et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69a7cd0bd48f933b5eed910chttps://doi.org/10.1200/jco.2026.44.7_suppl.708
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