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March 4, 20263 citationsOpen Access

Tokenized Gold in Crypto Markets: Tracking Accuracy and Portfolio Performance

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MAMuhammad AshfaqWissenschaftliches Institut für Infrastruktur und KommunikationsdiensteMPMaximilian PfeiferWissenschaftliches Institut für Infrastruktur und KommunikationsdiensteTGTan GürpinarQuinnipiac University

Key Points

  • The aim is to analyze how tokenized gold prices align with traditional gold and assess their performance in crypto portfolios.
  • Evaluated price deviations and correlations between tokenized gold and traditional gold using multi-year time series data.
  • Analyzed trading data across weekday-only and 24/7 trading systems, including weekend effects.
  • Conducted portfolio simulations with adaptive rebalancing strategies in dynamic crypto portfolios.
  • Tokenized gold assets show strong long-term alignment with traditional gold prices.
  • XAUT tracks spot gold more closely than PAXG over time.
  • Adaptive rebalancing strategies enhance risk-adjusted portfolio performance during market volatility.

Abstract

This paper examines the relationship between traditional gold (XAU) and its tokenized counterparts (PAXG and XAUT), providing an empirical assessment of how digital representations of real-world assets align with their underlying benchmarks. Using multi-year time series data, the study evaluates price deviations, tracking accuracy, correlations, and volatility across both weekday-only and 24/7 trading datasets, incorporating weekend effects and crypto-market microstructure. Results show that both tokenized assets exhibit strong long-term alignment with XAU, while short-term divergences arise from continuous crypto trading, liquidity fragmentation, and issuer-specific design features, with XAUT consistently tracking spot gold more closely than PAXG. Building on this analysis, the paper examines the role of tokenized gold within dynamic, smart contract-driven crypto portfolios that also include BTC, ETH, and cash. Portfolio simulations demonstrate that adaptive rebalancing strategies materially improve risk-adjusted performance, with XAUT serving as a stabilizing anchor and cash enabling rapid, automated repositioning during volatility spikes. The findings offer a dual contribution: they clarify the fidelity and market behavior of tokenized gold and provide evidence of its practical utility within automated, on-chain portfolio management, highlighting both its strengths and structural limitations in emerging digital financial systems.

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Cite This Study

Ashfaq et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69a7cd5ed48f933b5eed9978https://doi.org/10.3390/fintech5010019
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