A Security-Centered National Model 2.0 / 安心醸成国家モデル2.0

Short Abstract This paper proposes a conceptual framework for evaluating state operation beyond the conventional binary opposition of democracy and authoritarianism. Contemporary political discourse frequently treats regime type as a primary normative criterion. However, historical and empirical observation suggests that political systems function less as intrinsic value-ends and more as operational means for maintaining social stability and continuity of everyday life. Based on this perspective, the state is redefined as a social apparatus that continuously generates assurance. In this model, political regimes are positioned as subordinate implementations rather than ultimate objectives. The evaluation focus shifts from ideological legitimacy to structural properties of state operation, including stability of living conditions, institutional predictability, resilience to systemic shocks, and low probability of violence conversion. The Assurance-Centered State Model provides a non-ideological analytical lens for assessing state functionality. It explains why authoritarian systems may function as “good governance” under certain conditions, while democracies may destabilize when operational constraints fail. The model also clarifies the structural irrationality of externally imposed regime change from the standpoint of temporal misalignment and assurance-destruction. Rather than advocating or rejecting specific political systems, this paper introduces an evaluative coordinate system for analyzing state performance in functional terms. By repositioning regime type as a subordinate implementation, the framework aims to facilitate structural and practical discussions of institutional design, including mechanisms such as selectable taxation and infrastructure stabilization, that enhance long-term assurance generation. https://orcid.