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March 8, 2026Open Access

Methodological Assessment of Public Health Surveillance Systems in Senegal Using Time-Series Forecasting Models for Risk Reduction Analysis

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Authors

SNSaliou NdiayeMSMamadou Sallé

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Overview

Analysis demonstrates predictive accuracy in disease forecasting in Senegal, suggesting machine learning could enhance surveillance.

Key Points

  • To assess public health surveillance systems in Senegal using time-series forecasting models for risk reduction.
  • Utilized ARIMA model for historical healthcare data analysis
  • Quantified uncertainty with robust standard errors
  • Forecasted disease incidence from surveillance data
  • 60% of forecasted disease incidence aligned with reported cases
  • ARIMA model showcased predictive accuracy
  • Highlights need for machine learning integration to improve predictions

Cite This Study

Ndiaye et al. (2009) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69acc56732b0ef16a404f7e4https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18894402
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