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Generative adversarial network improves prediction accuracy in wind power systems, highlighting uncertainty quantification and robustness.
Complex dynamical systems are characterized by inherent nonlinearity, high dimensionality, spatiotemporal uncertainty, and implicit symmetry, posing fundamental challenges for their mathematical modeling and multi-step evolution prediction. For example, wind power exhibits strong randomness, intermittency, and latent temporal symmetry. To address this, this paper proposes a symmetry-guided deep generative model, the bi-directional recurrent generative adversarial network (BDR-GAN), for the multi-step rolling prediction of such systems. The BDR-GAN formalizes multi-step evolution as a conditional probability distribution learning problem. It systematically integrates three forms of symmetry to enhance modeling validity: bi-directional temporal symmetry captured by a BiLSTM-based generator, structural symmetry within the adversarial learning framework between the generator and a 1D-CNN discriminator, and rolling symmetry enabled by a recursive prediction strategy that supports cyclic state updates. Theoretical analysis demonstrates that this symmetry-embedded adversarial mechanism enables BDR-GAN to effectively approximate the underlying dynamic operators and the conditional distribution of future states, improving the learned model’s generalization. Experimental validation on wind power datasets confirms the framework’s superiority. Compared to benchmark models, BDR-GAN achieves superior prediction accuracy (e.g., RMSE 0.236, MAPE 5.12%), provides reliable uncertainty quantification (PICP 95.5%), and exhibits enhanced robustness against noise and variability. This work provides a generalizable, symmetry-guided modeling framework for the multi-step evolution of complex dynamical systems, offering theoretical and technical support for high-precision prediction in critical applications such as wind power integration and smart grid operation.
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Xu et al. (2026) studied this question.
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