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March 12, 2026Remote Sensing3 citationsOpen Access

Deciphering Multi-Scale Anthropogenic Drivers of River Water Quality: A Synergistic ML-GAM Cascade Framework with Sentinel-2

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JDJinfang DuXiamen UniversityXXXilin XiaoHefei University of TechnologyDLDa LinGuangdong Province Environmental Monitoring Center

Key Points

  • This research aims to quantify the effects of natural and anthropogenic drivers on river water quality using advanced modeling techniques.
  • Utilized satellite remote sensing (Sentinel-2) alongside in situ data from 2021 to 2024.
  • Analyzed total nitrogen, total phosphorus, permanganate index, and turbidity in the Minjiang River.
  • Employed generalized additive models (GAMs) to assess scale-dependent relationships between factors and water quality indicators.
  • Identified multiphasic responses of total nitrogen to forest cover and water area.
  • Observed that total phosphorus is primarily influenced by agricultural and urban land use.
  • Revealed clear scale-threshold effects impacting water quality indicators.

Abstract

While understanding the drivers of river water quality is crucial, the dependence on ground observations hinders the accurate quantification of driver thresholds, as well as the scale-dependent effects of buffer zones. By transcending the limitations of ground observations, satellite remote sensing provides the spatially continuous data required to define effective buffer zones and determine the threshold intervals for natural and anthropogenic drivers, effectively promoting sustainable watershed management. Herein, we determined the total nitrogen (TN), total phosphorus (TP), permanganate index (CODMn), and turbidity in the Minjiang River of Fujian Province by synergizing Sentinel-2 imagery and in situ data (2021–2024). Subsequently, we further employed generalized additive models (GAMs) considering scale-dependent (50 m to 20 km) characteristics to screen and evaluate the natural–anthropogenic factors influencing the water quality indicators. The GAMs revealed that TN exhibited multiphasic responses to forest cover and water area, characterized by alternating positive and negative effects across their range. TP was found to be predominantly driven by agricultural and urban land use, showing clear scale–threshold effects. This study provides an integrated framework that moves beyond retrieval to quantitatively assess the impact of multi-scale natural–anthropogenic factors, offering actionable insights for precise watershed zoning and science-based management for the sustainable development of river systems.

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Cite This Study

Du et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69b257cd96eeacc4fcec6c2dhttps://doi.org/10.3390/rs18050840
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