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Analysis reveals no change in political influence despite parliamentary seat reduction in Germany, suggesting stability in power distribution.
We investigate whether the recently approved reforms of the apportionment of parliamentary seats to parties in the German Bundestag affects the parties’ political influence measured by power indices. We find that under neither reform the underlying simple game, which describes the possibilities to form governments, remains unchanged and as a result the Shapley-Shubik and the Banzhaf index are unaltered. As a consequence, the major change resulting from the reforms is the reduction of the Bundestag’s size to 630 seats.
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Duman et al. (2025) studied this question.
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