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March 12, 2026Renal Failure0 citationsOpen Access

MedFusion-gP-AKI: development and multicenter validation of a machine learning fusion model for early prediction of KDIGO stage 3 acute kidney injury in critically ill traumatic cervicothoracic spinal cord injury patients

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YWYixi WangJWJingjie WangWLWenzhe Li

Key Points

  • The aim is to develop and validate a predictive model for early identification of stage 3 acute kidney injury in critically ill patients with spinal cord injuries.
  • Developed MedFusion-GP-AKI as a multimodal deep learning framework.
  • Trained using a combined cohort from MIMIC-IV and eICU databases.
  • Imputed missing data with a GAN-based method and derived predictors using NOTEARS.
  • Benchmark tested fifteen baseline models and created an ensemble for improved predictive performance.
  • Validated across multiple centers with a web-based calculator for practical application.
  • Achieved area under the curve (AUC) values ranging from 0.909 to 0.969 across validation cohorts.
  • Demonstrated reliable discrimination and calibration with a balanced classification performance.
  • Strong generalizability confirmed across independent institutions using SHAP analysis.

Abstract

KDIGO stage-3 acute kidney injury (AKI), a life-threatening complication in critically ill patients with traumatic cervicothoracic spinal cord injury (TCTSCI), was associated with a 49.3% 60-day mortality and a median survival of 20 days in a combined MIMIC-IV/eICU analysis, underscoring its severe clinical consequences and the need for early identification and prediction. To address this need, MedFusion-GP-AKI was developed as a multimodal deep learning framework trained on the MIMIC-IV/eICU cohort and externally validated in 188 patients from four tertiary Chinese centers. Missing data were imputed with a GAN-based method, and key predictors were derived from the original dataset using NOTEARS, variational bottleneck, and adversarial analysis, yielding eleven variables led by lactate, mean arterial pressure, temperature, potassium, and TCTSCI level, with the dataset subsequently balanced using an SMOTified-GAN. Fifteen baseline models were benchmarked under uniform protocols, and the best-performing architectures were integrated into an ensemble that achieved AUCs of 0.938, 0.909, 0.969, 0.945, and 0.921 with APs of 0.841, 0.884, 0.992, 0.927, and 0.878 across pre- and post-SMOTE training, validation, and external cohorts, demonstrating reliable discrimination and calibration, stable clinical net benefit across thresholds, and balanced overall classification performance with strong generalizability across independent institutions. SHAP analysis confirmed that model attributions aligned with known clinical and physiological patterns, and a web-based calculator was developed for practical use. Overall, this study connects artificial intelligence, nephrology, and critical care by using multimodal deep learning and causal inference to predict severe AKI occurrence from early clinical data in critically ill TCTSCI patients.

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Cite This Study

Wang et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69b25b4996eeacc4fcec9dd2https://doi.org/10.1080/0886022x.2026.2640690
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