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March 13, 2026International Journal of Financial Studies3 citationsOpen Access

A Cointegrating Linkage of Financial Inclusion, Institutional Quality and Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan African Countries

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MGMorgak Kassem GolpetPMPatricia Lindelwa MakoniGMGodfrey Marozva

Key Points

  • The study aims to analyze the long-term relationships between financial inclusion, institutional quality, and economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa.
  • Analyzed data from 20 Sub-Saharan African countries from 2008 to 2024
  • Employed Pooled Mean Group (PMG) estimator
  • Utilized Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) panel analysis
  • Found a significant positive long-term link between financial inclusion and economic growth
  • Established that institutional quality positively correlates with economic growth
  • Identified short-run correlations where institutional quality relates to economic growth, but financial inclusion does not

Abstract

This study investigates the cointegrating relationships among financial inclusion, institutional quality, and economic growth in 20 Sub-Saharan African nations from 2008 to 2024. Employing the Pooled Mean Group (PMG) estimator in an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) panel, the analysis showed a significant and favourable long-term association between economic growth, financial inclusion and institutional quality. In particular, regardless of the proxy for economic growth, the long-term association between financial inclusion and economic growth is positive and statistically significant. Similarly, institutional quality demonstrates a favourable and significant long-run linkage to economic growth, suggesting that improvements in institutional frameworks are related to sustained economic expansion. In contrast, short-run dynamics differs. There is a short-term correlation between institutional quality and economic growth but not between financial inclusion and economic growth. These findings show the importance of institutional quality as a catalyst for economic growth in the region. Consequently, the study recommends that governments in Sub-Saharan Africa should prioritise setting up strong institutions and policies to foster financial inclusion, which has a correlation with sustainable economic growth. This is crucial for both overall economic development and the creation of job opportunities.

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Cite This Study

Golpet et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69b3abf602a1e69014ccd3c4https://doi.org/10.3390/ijfs14030071
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