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March 14, 2026Frontiers in Public Health2 citationsOpen Access

Time-varying exposure to ambient air pollution and mortality among colon cancer patients in northern Thailand: a 15-year retrospective cohort study

TCTaned ChitapanaruxPTPatrinee TraisathitPSPimwarat Srikummoon

Key Points

  • This study investigates the influence of long-term ambient air pollution, particularly PM 2.5, on mortality among colon cancer patients in northern Thailand.
  • Conducted a 15-year retrospective cohort study using data from 5,018 colon cancer patients (2003–2018) from the Chiang Mai Cancer Registry.
  • Evaluated time-varying exposure to PM 2.5 and other pollutants using annual data from Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service.
  • Applied multivariable time-dependent Cox models, adjusting for demographics, tumor characteristics, and treatment.
  • 72% of patients died during follow-up, with an all-cause mortality rate of 19.4 per 100 person-years.
  • Exposure to PM 2.5 ≥ 37.5 μg/m 3 linked to double the risk of mortality (adjusted hazard ratio of 1.96).
  • Mortality was associated with higher mean PM 2.5 exposure (37.7 vs. 35.5 μg/m 3 for survivors, p < 0.001).
  • No significant mortality associations found with PM 10, O₃, NO₂, SO₂, or CO exposure.

Abstract

Background Northern Thailand experiences severe annual air pollution (PM 2.5 35 μg/m 3 ), primarily due to agricultural burning. While ambient PM 2.5 has been linked to gastrointestinal cancer deaths, its effect on colon cancer survival in high-exposure areas remains understudied. Methods In this 15-year retrospective cohort study, we used data on 5,018 patients with colon cancer (2003–2018) obtained from the Chiang Mai Cancer Registry. Time-varying exposure to PM 2.5 , PM 10 , NO₂, SO₂, CO, and O₃ was evaluated by exploiting annually updated Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service data and linking them to residential districts. Multivariable time-dependent Cox models adjusted for demographics, tumor characteristics, and treatment were used in the analysis. Results Over 18,650 person-years of follow-up (PYFU), 72% of patients died (mortality rate: 19.4 per 100 PYFU). Exposure to PM 2.5 ≥ 37.5 μg/m 3 (a regionally relevant threshold) was independently linked to double the risk of all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 1.96, 95% confidence interval: 1.49–2.58, p 0.001), as was having a low body mass index (aHR = 1.54) and being male (aHR = 1.23). Patients who died had significantly higher mean time-updated PM 2.5 exposure (with consistent annual exposure differences) compared to the survivors (37.7 vs. 35.5 μg/m 3 ; p 0.001). No significant associations were found between colon cancer and PM 10 , O₃, NO₂, SO₂, or CO exposure. The PM 2.5 effect size was larger than estimates from regions with lower exposure levels. Conclusion Long-term exposure to ambient PM 2.5 markedly increases the risk of death among colon cancer patients in northern Thailand. As a modifiable risk factor, PM 2.5 mitigation urgently needs to be incorporated into environmental and survivorship care strategies in high-exposure areas.

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Cite This Study

Chitapanarux et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69b4faf0b39f7826a300b9bchttps://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2026.1684020
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