What question did this study set out to answer?

The aim is to evaluate how uncertainty is managed in climate change-related flood risk models.

March 18, 2026Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate ChangeOpen Access

Uncertainty Representation and Propagation in Flood Risk Modeling Under Climate Change: A Systematic Review

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Authors

VMVilly Mik‐MeyerTechnical University of Denmark EDEmma E.H. DoyleMassey University MLMorten Andreas Dahl LarsenUniversity of Southern Denmark

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Implication

This systematic review examines uncertainty propagation in climate-induced flood risk assessments, indicating essential practices for better adaptation planning.

Key Points

The aim is to evaluate how uncertainty is managed in climate change-related flood risk models.
Conducted a systematic review of 143 studies on flood risk modeling.
Focused on top-down modeling frameworks influenced by greenhouse gas scenarios.
Analyzed uncertainty treatment in various modeling stages, including downscaling and impact assessment.
Found significant variability in model selection and uncertainty propagation methods among studies.
Identified that climate model uncertainty is often well-sampled, while impact and adaptation model uncertainty is less addressed.
Proposed a checklist to improve transparency and robustness in modeling processes.

Cite This Study

Mik‐Meyer et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69ba434a4e9516ffd37a45b9 https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.70045

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Implication

This systematic review examines uncertainty propagation in climate-induced flood risk assessments, indicating essential practices for better adaptation planning.

Uncertainty Representation and Propagation in Flood Risk Modeling Under Climate Change: A Systematic Review

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Implication

Key Points

Cite This Study

Uncertainty Representation and Propagation in Flood Risk Modeling Under Climate Change: A Systematic Review

Discussion

Member takes

Implication

Key Points

Cite This Study

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