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March 19, 20260 citationsOpen Access

Apex Ai: A Multi-Model Ensemble Framework for Intelligent NSE Equity Trading Signal Generation

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SGSai Narendra GhodkeSBSiddhartha V. BhosaleSSSunraj Shetty

Key Points

  • To develop and evaluate APEX AI, a multi-model ensemble framework for generating equity trading signals for NSE-listed stocks.
  • Developed an ensemble of Gated Recurrent Units, Temporal Convolutional Networks, and LightGBM models.
  • Implemented a soft-voting ensemble to generate probabilistic price forecasts for a 14-day horizon.
  • Designed a four-stage gate architecture to filter signals based on market conditions.
  • Integrated the system with a FastAPI backend and a React frontend for user interaction.
  • Achieved directional accuracy above 62% for trading signals.
  • The ensemble model outperformed all individual component models in predictive accuracy.
  • Predicted equity price movements using P10, P50, and P90 quantile estimates.

Abstract

This paper presents APEX AI, a professional-grade equity trading signal platform designed for National Stock Exchange (NSE) listed Indian stocks. The system employs a heterogeneous ensemble of three complementary machine learning models: Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) networks for sequential pattern capture, Temporal Convolutional Networks (TCN) for multi-scale temporal feature extraction, and LightGBM for gradient-boosted tabular learning. These models are fused through a soft-voting ensemble to produce probabilistic price forecasts expressed as P10, P50, and P90 quantile estimates over a 14-day horizon. A four-stage gate architecture governs signal quality, filtering signals based on trend alignment, volatility regime, volume confirmation, and risk-adjusted expected return. The platform exposes predictions through a FastAPI backend and a React/TypeScript/Vite frontend featuring a TradingView-style candlestick chart with an integrated forecast cone. Experimental evaluation on historical NSE data demonstrates directional accuracy above 62%, with the ensemble outperforming any individual constituent model.

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Cite This Study

Ghodke et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69bb92df496e729e62980831https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19061955
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