Stability and Change in China’s Rights Protection Policy for Reservoir Resettlers: An Integrated Approach of Policy Bibliometrics and Punctuated Equilibrium

Ensuring the rights of involuntary resettlers is fundamental to a law-based state and essential for achieving social equity and sustainable development. However, institutional improvement depends not only on the intent of top-level design but also on the capacity for dynamic adaptation amid evolving social contexts. Moving beyond the predominant research focus on policy design principles, this study investigates the dynamic evolution of China’s reservoir resettlement rights protection policies from 1949 to 2025. We first constructed a corpus of 32 core policy documents. Employing a bibliometric analysis within a multi-dimensional framework, we statically examined the developmental patterns of these policies. Subsequently, we applied the Punctuated Equilibrium Theory (PET) to dynamically analyze their policy changes, identifying a trajectory marked by both long-term stability and significant punctuations. Our findings reveal that over 76 years, the policy process has undergone two major equilibrium periods and two critical punctuation nodes, demonstrating a clear pattern of “protracted stability interspersed with short bursts of rapid transformation.” The policy image has correspondingly evolved through four distinct stages: “Administratively Mobilized Resettlement,” “Development-Oriented Resettlement,” “Harmonious Society for Resettlers,” and “Common Prosperity.” The study argues that this evolution is driven by the interplay of shifting central government attention, the occurrence of focusing events, and the reinforcement of evolving Policy Images, which collectively broadened the policy venue and led to non-linear institutional change. Based on these findings, the paper recommends: first, adopting a dynamic approach to policy formulation; second, maintaining sustained political commitment and robust institutional safeguards; and third, fostering multi-stakeholder consultation and collaborative governance mechanisms. These strategies are essential to more effectively secure the multifaceted rights of reservoir resettlers.