PulseExploreJournal ClubDebatesTrendingResearchersJournals
Instagram
HomeExploreJournal ClubTrending
Synapse
⌘+K
Synapse
March 27, 2026Journal of risk and financial management2 citationsOpen Access

Weighted Average Cost of Capital in Declining Interest Rate Environments (Part I): A Quantitative Risk Analysis

View Full Paper
SFSimon FreyHHHarro M. Heilmann

Key Points

  • This research investigates why WACC remains stable despite declining interest rates among DAX40 companies.
  • Analyzed capital market data from 2000 to 2023
  • Examined five dimensions of risk: systematic risk, market volatility, risk aversion, earnings risk, and financial structure risk
  • Conducted bootstrap analyses for beta variance and volatility assessments
  • Reported WACC for DAX40 companies remains stable between 7% and 8%
  • 41.5% reduction in beta factor variance identified
  • Market risk exposure shows a decline, while earnings risk indicates improved financial stability

Abstract

The article examines the persistent stability of the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) disclosed by German DAX40 companies despite substantial declines in risk-free interest rates between 2004 and 2021. While theory suggests that WACC should reflect lower risk-free interest rates and decline as well with falling government bond yields, empirical evidence reveals minimal adjustment in reported WACC figures. Disclosed WACC of DAX40 companies remains between 7% and 8% as the yield of the ten-year German government bond fell from 4.1% to −0.2%. This study employs quantitative analyses to investigate whether systematic increases in risk exposure can explain this phenomenon. Using capital market data spanning from 2000 to 2023, we analyze five risk dimensions: systematic risk (beta factors), overall market volatility, risk aversion (lambda factors), earnings risk, and financial structure risk. Bootstrap analyses reveal a 41.5% reduction in beta factor variance, while volatility analyses demonstrate declining market risk exposure. The market price of risk analysis does not reveal definite findings. Earnings risk measures indicate improved financial stability, and debt ratios show modest declines. These findings suggest that observable risk parameters cannot explain persistent WACC levels, indicating a disconnect between theoretical WACC calculations and practitioner applications in investment project decision-making following value-based management principles.

Ask AI
Helpful
Bookmark
Share
View Full Paper

Cite This Study

Frey et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69c6202f15a0a509bde189cahttps://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm19040241
Ask AI
Helpful
Bookmark
Share
View Full Paper