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March 28, 2026Journal of Managed Care & Specialty Pharmacy2 citations

Transparent reporting of group-based trajectory modeling to study medication adherence: Practical considerations and common pitfalls

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JRJohn G. RizkDQDanya M. Qato

Key Points

  • The article aims to provide guidance on using group-based trajectory modeling to study medication adherence effectively.
  • Discusses modeling decisions like the time scale and adherence measures.
  • Highlights potential threats to validity, including selection bias and reverse causality.
  • Offers practical advice for researchers, clinicians, editors, and reviewers.
  • Identifies common pitfalls in applying GBTM for medication adherence.
  • Emphasizes the importance of transparency and consistency in reporting findings.
  • Aims to enhance the quality of evidence in medication adherence research.

Abstract

Medication adherence is dynamic and varies over time, yet many studies use the proportion of days covered as a static measure summarized across the entire observation period, which can obscure meaningful changes in adherence behavior over time. Group-based trajectory modeling (GBTM) has become an increasingly popular method for examining longitudinal adherence patterns and for identifying distinct subgroups of individuals with similar medication-taking behavior. Although this approach provides important advantages, it also introduces additional methodological complexity that has implications for reproducibility, interpretation, and bias. This Viewpoint article provides practical guidance for researchers, clinicians, editors, and peer reviewers who evaluate or apply GBTM to study medication adherence. We describe common modeling decisions, including selecting the time scale, choosing between binary or continuous adherence measures, determining the number and shape of trajectories, and handling enrollment requirements, while highlighting the benefits and limitations associated with each approach. We also identify major threats to study validity, including selection bias from restrictive continuous enrollment criteria, immortal time bias, and reverse causality. To support transparency and consistency in reporting, we summarize key components that should be documented in manuscripts using GBTM. In sum, we aim to strengthen the quality of evidence informed by medication adherence studies.

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Cite This Study

Rizk et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69c771dd8bbfbc51511e1f96https://doi.org/10.18553/jmcp.2026.32.4.507
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