Abstract The U.S. Endangered Species Act (ESA) has provided the legal framework to prevent many extinctions, yet recovery remains elusive for hundreds of species. Himantopus mexicanus knudseni (Ae‘o or Hawaiian Stilt), listed as federally Endangered in 1973, provides a valuable case study for assessing long-term demographic responses to conservation. We synthesized reproductive data from 1963–2020 across 9 wetlands on the island of O‘ahu, Hawaii, USA, where most studies have taken place for this species, and analyzed trends in vital rates using linear mixed models. Nest and fledging success increased modestly, indicating that conservation actions reduced nest failure and improved chick survival. In contrast, clutch size, hatching success, and fledgling density did not significantly increase. Importantly, site-level variation was substantial, with the highest reproductive outputs occurring in locations with predator exclusion and minimal flooding. Expanding wetland habitat that is managed for invasive predators through partnerships with private, non-profit, and community-led efforts will be critical for species recovery. While the species remains listed, conservation actions over 5 decades under the ESA have prevented extinction and produced measurable improvements in key life stages, marking H. m. knudseni as a conservation success story in progress.
Idle et al. (Thu,) studied this question.