With the rapid advancement of information technology, the energy consumption of data centers has become a critical issue. Accurate cooling load prediction is essential for optimizing cooling system operations and improving energy efficiency. However, conventional models often struggle to capture the complex nonlinearities and multi-variable coupling effects inherent in data centers. To address the limitations of existing models in terms of training efficiency and generalization performance, this study proposes a cooling load prediction model that integrates the light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM) algorithm with Bayesian optimization. The model was validated using data generated from an EnergyPlus simulation of a representative medium-scale data center. Comparative analysis demonstrates that the proposed model surpasses naive benchmarks (T-1, T-24, and T-168) and other machine learning models (SVR, XGBoost, and LSTM), achieving superior performance with a Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) of 4.3234 kW, R2 of 0.9999, and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 0.07%. A noise robustness analysis further reveals that the model maintains excellent performance under realistic uncertainties, achieving an R2 above 0.99 and an RPD exceeding 12 even at high noise levels (SNR = 20 dB). The total runtime and Relative Prediction Deviation (RPD) were 33.45 s and 86.2685, respectively, indicating an excellent balance between computational efficiency and robust predictive reliability. The key contribution of this research is the effective integration of LightGBM and Bayesian optimization to provide a highly accurate and efficient tool for data center cooling load prediction. This approach offers a scientific foundation for the intelligent control of cooling systems and energy efficiency optimization in data centers, with direct practical implications for building energy management.
Zhang et al. (Sun,) studied this question.