Estimation of Excess Deaths Associated With the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States, March to May 2020

Daniel M. Weinberger; Jenny Chen; Ted Cohen; Forrest W. Crawford; Farzad Mostashari; Donald R. Olson; Virginia E. Pitzer; Nicholas G Reich; Marcus Russi; Lone Simonsen; Anne E. Watkins; Cécile Viboud

doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2020.3391

July 1, 2020JAMA Internal MedicineOpen Access

Estimation of Excess Deaths Associated With the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States, March to May 2020

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Key Points

The study aims to estimate the excess deaths associated with the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States during early 2020.
Analysis of mortality data from March to May 2020 across various states
Comparison of reported COVID-19 deaths to estimated excess deaths to assess underreporting
Examination of state-level variations in mortality burden
Excess deaths during the specified period indicate that official counts likely underreport true mortality
Variability in the mortality burden was observed across different states
The findings reveal that the pandemic's impact on mortality is broader than indicated by official death tallies

Implication

This analysis estimates excess deaths due to COVID-19 in the U.S., indicating a likely undercount in mortality rates.

Abstract

Excess deaths provide an estimate of the full COVID-19 burden and indicate that official tallies likely undercount deaths due to the virus. The mortality burden and the completeness of the tallies vary markedly between states.

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Cite This Study

Weinberger et al. (2020) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69d6b166fca0359822aa808f https://doi.org/10.1001/jamainternmed.2020.3391

View Full Paper

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Estimation of Excess Deaths Associated With the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States, March to May 2020

Key Points

Implication

Abstract

Discussion

Cite This Study

Estimation of Excess Deaths Associated With the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States, March to May 2020

Key Points

Implication

Abstract

Discussion

Cite This Study

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