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January 1, 1983Monthly Weather Review1,178 citations

Statistical Field Significance and its Determination by Monte Carlo Techniques

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RLRobert E. LivezeyWCW. Y. Chen

Key Points

  • This research aims to evaluate the significance of finite statistical sets, especially in spatial networks of meteorological data.
  • Prescreening for significance assuming data independence.
  • Consideration of dependence using effective degrees of freedom or binomial distribution.
  • Utilization of Monte Carlo simulation to clarify ambiguities.
  • Illustration of statistical significance issues using seasonal averages of 700 mb height data.
  • Critically examined previous works by Hancock, Nastrom, and Williams in light of proposed techniques.
  • Provided Monte Carlo strategies for resolving evaluation ambiguities.

Abstract

The effects of number and interdependence in evaluating the collective significance of finite sets of statistics are frequently non-trivial, especially for spatial networks of time-averaged meteorological data. These effects can be taken into account in two steps: By first prescreening for significance assuming data independence and then, if necessary, by taking into consideration dependence through the use of estimated effective degrees of freedom and the binomial distribution or, failing that, Monte Carlo simulation. Seasonal averages of 700 mb height data are used to illustrate the problem and to demonstrate how the data set properties are taken into account. Papers by Hancock and Yarger (1979), Nastrom and Belmont (1980) and Williams (1980) are critically examined in light of these considerations and Monte Carlo strategies for clarification of ambiguities suggested.

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Cite This Study

Livezey et al. (1983) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69d832d0f4e559c61eae2bafhttps://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(1983)111<0046:sfsaid>2.0.co;2
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