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April 10, 2026Scientific Reports0 citationsOpen Access

Modeling of fractional order DPG model insight global warming and pollution effect on desertification for control mechanism

MFMuhammad FarmanKhazar UniversityKJKhadija JamilUniversity of LahoreSJSaba Jamil

Key Points

  • The research aims to develop a fractional-order mathematical model to understand desertification dynamics influenced by dust pollutants, plant biomass, and global warming.
  • Introduced a fractional-order model incorporating ecological memory and long-range interactions.
  • Established a numerical framework to analyze system feedback and chaos control.
  • Utilized Caputo derivatives for ecological memory effects.
  • Integrated key parameters like dust emission and plant decay into a nonlinear differential equation system.
  • Conducted sensitivity analysis to identify influential parameters on desertification risk.
  • Demonstrated that lower fractional orders reduce dust accumulation and delay global warming trends.
  • Showed plant biomass regeneration slows under certain conditions.
  • Validated that fractional modeling effectively captures real-world environmental inertia and feedback.

Abstract

This study presents a novel fractional-order mathematical model that investigates the dynamic interplay between dust pollutants, plant biomass, and global warming, referred to as the DPG system. This research introduces a fractional-order formulation that incorporates ecological memory and long-range interactions, providing a more realistic representation of desertification dynamics than classical integer-order models. It also establishes a comprehensive analytical numerical framework designed to capture system feedback, assess instability patterns, and evaluate the effectiveness of chaos control mechanisms. The model utilizes Caputo derivatives to capture the memory effects inherent in ecological and atmospheric processes. Key parameters such as dust emission, plant decay, and global warming feedback mechanisms are integrated into a nonlinear system of differential equations. Analytical evaluations ensure the existence, uniqueness, and generalized Hyers-Ulam-Rassias stability of the proposed system. Sensitivity analysis identifies the parameters that have the most significant influence on desertification risk. Furthermore, a Newton polynomial-based numerical scheme is constructed to efficiently simulate system behavior under varying fractional orders. Chaos control strategies are implemented to stabilize the system near critical equilibrium points. Numerical simulations reveal that lower fractional orders dampen dust accumulation, slow plant biomass regeneration, and delay global warming trends, highlighting the efficacy of fractional modeling in capturing real-world environmental inertia and feedback. This research provides a robust analytical and computational foundation for understanding ecosystem resilience in the face of both anthropogenic and climatic stressors.

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Cite This Study

Farman et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69d894326c1944d70ce05122https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-47606-3
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