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October 17, 2017Water305 citationsOpen Access

Interpolation in Time Series: An Introductive Overview of Existing Methods, Their Performance Criteria and Uncertainty Assessment

MLMathieu LepotJAJean-Baptiste AubinFCF.H.L.R. Clemens

Key Points

  • Review existing methods for filling gaps in time series data and assess how their performance and prediction uncertainties are quantified.
  • Reviewed diverse time series gap-filling approaches, including classical interpolation, regression, autoregressive models, and machine learning methods.
  • Evaluated conventional efficiency metrics and standard assessment procedures used for uncertainty estimation in interpolated and extrapolated data.
  • Demonstrated that although many efficiency criteria exist to evaluate interpolation, prediction uncertainty is rarely calculated in standard practice.
  • Proposed recommendations for future time series research alongside a novel gap-filling method.

Abstract

A thorough review has been performed on interpolation methods to fill gaps in time-series, efficiency criteria, and uncertainty quantifications. On one hand, there are numerous available methods: interpolation, regression, autoregressive, machine learning methods, etc. On the other hand, there are many methods and criteria to estimate efficiencies of these methods, but uncertainties on the interpolated values are rarely calculated. Furthermore, while they are estimated according to standard methods, the prediction uncertainty is not taken into account: a discussion is thus presented on the uncertainty estimation of interpolated/extrapolated data. Finally, some suggestions for further research and a new method are proposed.

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Cite This Study

Lepot et al. (2017) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69d8ccd5b0225cae72bedca7https://doi.org/10.3390/w9100796
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